Filtering for fast mean-reverting processes

نویسنده

  • Andrew Papanicolaou
چکیده

We consider nonlinear filtering applications to target tracking based on a vector of multi-scaled models where some of the processes are rapidly mean reverting to their local equilibria. We focus attention on target tracking problems because multiple scaled models with fast mean-reversion (FMR) are a simple way to model latency in the response of tracking systems. The main results of this paper show that nonlinear filtering algorithms for multi-scale models with FMR states can be simplified significantly by exploiting the FMR structures, which leads to a simplified Baum–Welch recursion that is of reduced dimension. We implement the simplified algorithms with numerical simulations and discuss their efficiency and robustness.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Discrete-Time Approach for Valuing Real Options with Underlying Mean-Reverting Stochastic Processes

Acknowledgements I wish to thank my dissertation advisor, Professor James S. Dyer for his insights and guidance. I would also like to recognize the other members of my dissertation Their comments and service were greatly appreciated. Dr. Luiz Brandao also provided many useful insights, and Dr. Jim Smith and Dr. John Butler were very helpful with computational matters. I would like to thank my p...

متن کامل

Dynamic modeling of mean-reverting spreads for statistical arbitrage

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been proposed as a model for such spreads under the assumption that the observed process is a noisy realization of some hidden states. Real-time estimation of the unobs...

متن کامل

Non mean reverting affine processes for stochastic mortality

In this paper we use doubly stochastic processes (or Cox processes) in order to model the random evolution of mortality of an individual. These processes have been widely used in the credit risk literature in modelling default arrival, and in this context have proved to be quite flexible, especially when the intensity process is of the affine class. We investigate the applicability of time-homo...

متن کامل

Stochastic Volatility and Epsilon-Martingale Decomposition

We address the problems of pricing and hedging derivative securities in an environment of uncertain and changing market volatility. We show that when volatility is stochastic but fast mean reverting Black-Scholes pricing theory can be corrected. The correction accounts for the effect of stochastic volatility and the associated market price of risk. For European derivatives it is given by explic...

متن کامل

Matched asymptotic expansions in financial engineering

Modern financial practice depends heavily on mathematics and a correspondingly large theory has grown up to meet this demand. This paper focuses on the use of matched asymptotic expansions in option pricing; it presents illustrations of the approach in ‘plain vanilla’ option valuation, in valuation using a fast mean-reverting-stochastic volatility model, and in a model for illiquid markets. A t...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Asymptotic Analysis

دوره 70  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010