Filtering for fast mean-reverting processes
نویسنده
چکیده
We consider nonlinear filtering applications to target tracking based on a vector of multi-scaled models where some of the processes are rapidly mean reverting to their local equilibria. We focus attention on target tracking problems because multiple scaled models with fast mean-reversion (FMR) are a simple way to model latency in the response of tracking systems. The main results of this paper show that nonlinear filtering algorithms for multi-scale models with FMR states can be simplified significantly by exploiting the FMR structures, which leads to a simplified Baum–Welch recursion that is of reduced dimension. We implement the simplified algorithms with numerical simulations and discuss their efficiency and robustness.
منابع مشابه
A Discrete-Time Approach for Valuing Real Options with Underlying Mean-Reverting Stochastic Processes
Acknowledgements I wish to thank my dissertation advisor, Professor James S. Dyer for his insights and guidance. I would also like to recognize the other members of my dissertation Their comments and service were greatly appreciated. Dr. Luiz Brandao also provided many useful insights, and Dr. Jim Smith and Dr. John Butler were very helpful with computational matters. I would like to thank my p...
متن کاملDynamic modeling of mean-reverting spreads for statistical arbitrage
Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been proposed as a model for such spreads under the assumption that the observed process is a noisy realization of some hidden states. Real-time estimation of the unobs...
متن کاملNon mean reverting affine processes for stochastic mortality
In this paper we use doubly stochastic processes (or Cox processes) in order to model the random evolution of mortality of an individual. These processes have been widely used in the credit risk literature in modelling default arrival, and in this context have proved to be quite flexible, especially when the intensity process is of the affine class. We investigate the applicability of time-homo...
متن کاملStochastic Volatility and Epsilon-Martingale Decomposition
We address the problems of pricing and hedging derivative securities in an environment of uncertain and changing market volatility. We show that when volatility is stochastic but fast mean reverting Black-Scholes pricing theory can be corrected. The correction accounts for the effect of stochastic volatility and the associated market price of risk. For European derivatives it is given by explic...
متن کاملMatched asymptotic expansions in financial engineering
Modern financial practice depends heavily on mathematics and a correspondingly large theory has grown up to meet this demand. This paper focuses on the use of matched asymptotic expansions in option pricing; it presents illustrations of the approach in ‘plain vanilla’ option valuation, in valuation using a fast mean-reverting-stochastic volatility model, and in a model for illiquid markets. A t...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید
ثبت ناماگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید
ورودعنوان ژورنال:
- Asymptotic Analysis
دوره 70 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2010